Health Decision
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd
<p>Health Decision Making, to analyse issues related to health economics, health management or health policy through quantitative or qualitative methods to help decision-making.</p>en-USoffice@hdjournal.com (Editorial Office)stanleyzhang@hdjournal.com (Stanley Zhang)Fri, 12 Jul 2024 09:54:23 +0800OJS 3.3.0.7http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss60A cross-sectional study of national drug procurement policy knowledge, attitudes, and practices among medical personnel in Yunnan Province
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/647
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> This study assesses the knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP) concerning the National Drug Procurement</p> <p>Policy among medical personnel in Yunnan Province, focusing on their understanding, acceptance, and application of the policy.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>A comprehensive survey involving 919 medical professionals across diverse healthcare settings in Yunnan was</p> <p>conducted using a structured, self-administered questionnaire. It encompassed demographic information, knowledge of the</p> <p>drug procurement policy, attitudes towards its implementation, and related practices. Analytical methods included descriptive</p> <p>statistics, ANOVA, regression analysis, principal component analysis (PCA), and KMeans clustering to discern patterns and key</p> <p>influencers of policy perception and application.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>The survey demonstrated a significant gender imbalance (79.54% female) and a younger and middleaged majority</p> <p>(35.58% aged 18-30, 54.84% aged 31-50). Most participants held higher educational qualifications, with 62.13% possessing a</p> <p>Bachelor’s degree. Professional qualifications were found to significantly impact policy understanding. Variations in perceptions</p> <p>of the policy’s implementation were significant across different professional roles, as indicated by ANOVA. Correlation analysis</p> <p>revealed substantial links between policy understanding and aspects like ‘Agreement on Drug Consistency’ (<em>r</em> = 0.62) and</p> <p>‘Reducing Medication Burden’ (<em>r</em> = 0.45). Regression analysis identified ‘Technical Qualification’ as a key determinant of policy</p> <p>comprehension. Factor analysis unveiled critical dimensions influencing perceptions, including Policy Understanding & Education,</p> <p>Operational Impact, Economic Implications, Drug Selection & Usage, and Industry Dynamics. PCA and KMeans clustering</p> <p>exposed a wide spectrum of understanding and opinions among the medical staff.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The findings highlight notable gaps in understanding and implementing the National Drug Procurement Policy</p> <p>among Yunnan’s medical personnel. This underlines the necessity for targeted educational and communication strategies,</p> <p>advocating policy refinement to address the diverse needs of the healthcare workforce, thereby enhancing policy efficacy and</p> <p>healthcare outcomes.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>drug procurement policy, medical personnel, Yunnan province, healthcare policy, professional qualifications,</p> <p>prescription practices, healthcare management, policy implementation</p>Siyan Zhou, Qing Wang, Juanrong Yang, Dan Qin, Zaixian Yang, Fan Li, Jian Yang
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/647Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Cost-effectiveness analysis of mirogabalin in treatment of diabetic peripheral neuropathic pain and post-herpetic neuralgia in China
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/648
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of mirogabalin in treatment of Chinese patients with DPNP or PHN, and to discuss</p> <p>its reasonable pricing strategy.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cost-effectiveness analysis was performed by constructing a three-state Markov model (mild, moderate, and</p> <p>severe pain) to compare mirogabalin with placebo and pregabalin for DPNP or PHN patients from Chinese healthcare system</p> <p>perspective. The efficacy parameters were derived from randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing mirogabalin with placebo in</p> <p>the treatment of PHN or DPNP, as well as from network meta-analyses comparing mirogabalin/pregabalin with placebo RCTs.</p> <p>The health utility values were obtained from published literatures. Cost parameters contained cost of pregabalin, supportive</p> <p>care, and other medical resource utilization, were sourced from both published literature and public price database. Sensitivity</p> <p>analysis was conducted on key parameters to verify the stability of the results.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>With one-year time horizon, for PHN, the incremental quality-adjusted life years (ΔQALYs) of mirogabalin compared with</p> <p>placebo and pregabalin were 0.048 and 0.025 respectively; For DPNP, the ΔQALYs of mirogabalin compared with placebo and</p> <p>pregabalin were 0.021 and 0.017 respectively. Using the national volume-based procurement price of pregabalin as a reference,</p> <p>with 1 and 3 times the per capita GDP in China (¥89,358, 2023) as thresholds, the daily cost of mirogabalin was found to be</p> <p>cost-effectiveness when it was within 1.64 times (DPNP) or 2.07 times (PHN), 2.47 times (DPNP) or 3.46 times (PHN) of the</p> <p>daily cost of pregabalin. One-way sensitivity showed that, utility values of mild and moderate pain, costs of mirogabalin had the</p> <p>biggest influence on incremental cost-effectiveness ratio.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>As a novel calcium channel modulator, the cost-effectiveness of mirogabalin is greatly influenced by the reference</p> <p>drug. When pricing in China, it is essential to select appropriate comparator drugs and their prices as references.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>cost-effectiveness, mirogabalin, diabetic peripheral neuropathic pain, postherpetic neuralgia</p>Yao Wu, Libo Tao, Chang Liu, Fangxu Wang, Shuang Sun
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/648Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Long-term cost-effectiveness analysis of onceweekly Semaglutide versus Dulaglutide for the treatment of type 2 diabetes after the renewal of the national drug reimbursement list in China
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/649
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> Once-weekly semaglutide was considered a dominant therapy for type 2 diabetes versus dulaglutide in China in a</p> <p>previous study. However, after the renewal of the national drug reimbursement list in the last two years, the prices of both drugs</p> <p>were changed. This study aims to reassess the long-term cost-effectiveness of once-weekly semaglutide versus dulaglutide</p> <p>for the treatment of type 2 diabetes uncontrolled on metformin in China under new prices.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>Long-term health and economic outcomes of once-weekly semaglutide 0.5 mg, 1.0 mg, and dulaglutide 1.5 mg</p> <p>were assessed over 40 years, using the Institute of Health Economics Diabetes Cohort Model from a Chinese healthcare</p> <p>system perspective, discounted at 5% annually. Baseline cohort characteristics and treatment effects were derived from the</p> <p>head-to-head clinical trial SUSTAIN 7. Costs included direct medical costs related to anti-hyperglycemic and complications</p> <p>treatment. National median bidding prices of drugs in January 2024 were used. The robustness of the results was assessed</p> <p>through one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>Once-weekly semaglutide 0.5 mg and 1.0 mg were estimated to improve discounted life expectancy by 0.04 and 0.09</p> <p>years, and discounted quality-adjusted life expectancy by 0.08 and 0.19 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) versus dulaglutide</p> <p>1.5 mg, respectively. At the new price, total costs were estimated to be 5476 Chinese yuan (CNY) lower with once-weekly</p> <p>semaglutide 0.5 mg versus dulaglutide 1.5 mg, among which CNY 4117 reduction came from avoidance of macrovascular and</p> <p>microvascular complications. Total costs were projected to be CNY 6711 lower with semaglutide 1.0 mg <em>versus</em> dulaglutide 1.5</p> <ol> <li>The higher drug cost of semaglutide 1.0 mg was fully offset by the CNY 10711 reduction in the cost of treating macrovascular</li> </ol> <p>and microvascular complications. Sensitivity analyses verified the robustness of the results.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Once-weekly semaglutide was still considered dominant (more effective and less costly) versus dulaglutide for</p> <p>patients with type 2 diabetes in China.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>China, cost-effectiveness, diabetes, Dulaglutide, Semaglutide</p>Yang Shen, Xianwen Chen, Hao Zhang, Hao Hu
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/649Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Possible factors influencing the development of the number of pharmacists in China: A time series VAR model analysis from the perspective of supply and demand theory
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/650
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> The supply and demand theory is used as a perspective to analyze the impact and prediction of factors such as</p> <p>the number of consultations in medical institutions on the number of hospital pharmacists in China.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 21 years of time-series data on the number of pharmacists, doctors and nurses in China’s hospitals, the</p> <p>number of consultations, the per capita health cost and the per capita GDP were collected from 2002 to 2022, and a vector</p> <p>auto-regressive model influencing the number of pharmacists in China was established to analyze the dynamic process of the</p> <p>influence of the number of consultations, the per capita health cost and the per capita GDP on the number of pharmacists and</p> <p>the direction of the influence in China.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>There is a unidirectional Granger causality and long-term cointegration relationship between the number of consultations</p> <p>and the number of pharmacists, and the number of consultations will have a greater impact on the number of pharmacists in the</p> <p>long run and will be more stable in the later period; there is also a unidirectional Granger causality and long-term cointegration</p> <p>relationship between the per capita health cost and the number of pharmacists, and the per capita health cost will have a greater</p> <p>impact on the number of pharmacists in the short run.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The rise in the number of pharmacists will occur along with increases in the number of visits, health costs per</p> <p>capita, and GDP per capita, with health costs per capita having a greater impact on the number of pharmacists in the short</p> <p>term, and visits and GDP per capita having a greater impact on the number of pharmacists in the long term and being more</p> <p>stable in the later years.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>number of pharmacists, vector auto-regressive model, number of consultations, per capita health costs, GDP</p> <p>per capita</p>Wei Guo, Han Zhang, Yanquan Lin, Gang Wu, Wei Li, Peng Zhang, Wan Tang, Hongdou Chen
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/650Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800A systematic literature review of quality of life among people living with HIV/AIDS in China
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/651
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> This study aims to systematically characterize the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) among people living with</p> <p>HIV/AIDS (PLWHA) in China.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>The systematic literature searching was conducted from database establishment until June 28 2023 (PubMed,</p> <p>Embase, ISPOR, CNKI, Wanfang, and VIP Database), and health utility values were estimated using mapping algorithms.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>11,290 literatures were screened, of which 290 met the eligibility criteria without PLWHA restriction and covered 18</p> <p>different scales. Inclusion criterion: (1) Studies investigating Chinese PLWHA, (2) Studies that utilize multi-dimensional HRQoL</p> <p>scales, (3) Sample size ≥100 participants, and exclusion criterion: (1) Studies not targeting on Chinese PLWHA, (2) Studies utilizing</p> <p>unspecified or undefined scales, (3) Studies in which the scale scores for different domains were not reported, (4) Non-research</p> <p>materials (editorials, correspondences, theses, <em>etc.</em>, (5) Duplicate studies. Analysis was based on 179 studies with the most</p> <p>frequently used top 3 scales, including the 36-item short form survey (SF-36) in 64 (22%) studies, World Health Organization</p> <p>Quality of Life Questionnaire for HIV Brief Version (WHOQOL-HIV-BREF) in 58 (20%) studies, and medical outcomes study HIV</p> <p>health survey (MOS-HIV) in 57 (20%) studies.</p> <p>The 179 studies were published between 2007 and 2023. 13 studies started since 2020 after COVID-19 outbreak. 122</p> <p>were non-interventional studies and 57 were prospective interventional controlled trials. 137 out of 159 studies where gender</p> <p>information was available reported a higher proportion of male participants. Only 3 studies published before 2020 specified the</p> <p>treatment regimens, all included in the National Free Antiretroviral Treatment Program (NFATP) and none was targeting integrase</p> <p>strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI).</p> <p>Across these 3 scales, non-interventional studies consistently indicated lower HRQoL in PLWHA compared to the general</p> <p>population, while in prospective trials it indicated HRQoL improvements through interventions like nursing care, management</p> <p>strategies and highly active antiretroviral therapy.</p> <p>Median utility values estimated from the MOS-HIV were 0.81 and 0.78, respectively, based on two mapping algorithms.</p> <p>Subgroup analyses indicated lower utility in AIDS patients compared to HIV-infected individuals, with differences ranging from</p> <p>0.01 to 0.09 across various studies using different mapping algorithms. Both groups were associated with lower utility than</p> <p>that in general population in China.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The overall HRQoL among Chinese PLWHA is worse than the that in general population, emphasizing the urgent</p> <p>need for effective treatment strategies to improve the HRQoL for PLWHA.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>people living with HIV/AIDS, quality of Life, China, systematic literature review</p>Liya Fan, Zhiliu Tang, Ian Jacob, Yi Chen, Huanyu Li, Yu Zhang
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/651Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Clinical comprehensive evaluation and drug utilization pattern study of treatment drugs for depression
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/652
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> Based on comprehensive analysis of real-world drug usage data, representative drugs are selected for clinical</p> <p>comprehensive value assessment, exploring factors influencing the clinical efficacy of antidepressant medications.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study extracted complete medical information of all depressive disorder patients in a hospital in Sichuan</p> <p>Province. By using the Apriori algorithm to analyze the association rules of drugs in the sorted clinical pathways, Paroxetine</p> <p>Hydrochloride, Venlafaxine Hydrochloride, and Agomelatine were ultimately selected. These three medications were studied</p> <p>in terms of safety, efficacy, cost-effectiveness, innovation, suitability, and accessibility using a research method that combines</p> <p>literature data with real-world data.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>Literature research indicated that Agomelatine outperformed the other two medications in terms of efficacy and cost</p> <p>effectiveness, real-world research results differed. In terms of efficacy, Agomelatine had an effectiveness rate of 21.1%, while</p> <p>Paroxetine and Venlafaxine had rates of 68.9% and 61.9%, respectively. Regarding cost-effectiveness, Agomelatine presented</p> <p>an absolute cost-effectiveness disadvantage. In terms of safety, literature and drug instructions have shown that agomelatine</p> <p>is the safest. In real-world studies, the reported adverse events of Venlafaxine Hydrochloride at SOC level are similar to those</p> <p>of Paroxetine Hydrochloride. Agomelatine has not been marketed in the United States. Regarding accessibility, according to</p> <p>the WHO/HAI method, the affordability of all three medications was less than 1, indicating good affordability for all. In terms</p> <p>of innovation, Agomelatine possesses a more innovative mechanism of action and is currently the only antidepressant on the</p> <p>market that specifically stimulates melatonin receptors. Regarding suitability, Agomelatine has a longer storage shelf life than</p> <p>the other two medications. However, there was no significant difference among the three drugs in other aspects.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Through analysis, we found that the current treatment pathway for depressive disorders has not yet formed a</p> <p>complete system. Each of the three drugs have their advantages in various dimensions.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>clinical comprehensive evaluation, drug utilization pattern, depression, real-world data, literature data</p>Yiyao Liu, Huitong Ni, Teng Zhi, Ziqi Zhao, Xiaoxi Zeng, Ming Hu, Zhiang Wu
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/652Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Cost-effectiveness analysis of Sintilimab vs. Docetaxel as the second-line therapy of squamous non-small cell lung cancer in China
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/653
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> There is a scarcity of sufficient pharmacoeconomic information in China regarding utilizing sintilimab as a second</p> <p>line therapy for squamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study aimed to estimate sintilimab’s cost-effectiveness</p> <p>compared to docetaxel for treating squamous NSCLC in China.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>A comparative analysis was conducted using a partitioned survival model to contrast the cost and patients’ quality</p> <p>adjusted life years (QALYs) associated with sintilimab and docetaxel. Clinical data for long-term survival projection and adverse</p> <p>event (AE) probabilities were drawn from the phase III ORIENT-3 clinical trial. Utility data and cost were gathered from relevant</p> <p>literature and local public databases. Sensitivity analyses were executed to ensure our findings’ reliability.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>Base case analysis unveiled that sintilimab led to 0.32 more QALY and $2546.34 more cost compared to docetaxel</p> <p>for squamous NSCLC in China. This translated to an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $8115.74/QALY gained,</p> <p>which falls below China’s per capita GDP in 2022. Our findings remained consistent and robust in both one-way deterministic</p> <p>and probabilistic sensitivity analyses, regardless of the willingness-to-pay setting.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Sintilimab as a second-line therapy for squamous NSCLC patients is cost-effective in the perspective of Chinese</p> <p>healthcare system.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>squamous non-small cell lung cancer, cost-effectiveness, sintilimab, docetaxel, second-line therapy</p>Yafei Shi, Yanhui Li, Wei Chen, Mingyu Zhang, Di Qian, Taifeng Li, Yuanyuan Dai, Guohui Li
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/653Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Cost-effectiveness analysis of the combination of low-dose nivolumab with triple metronomic chemotherapy for advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma in China
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/654
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> The combination of low-dose nivolumab with triple metronomic chemotherapy (TMC-I) proposes a novel approach,</p> <p>potentially enhancing patient prognosis while mitigating financial barriers. The purpose of this study was to compare the cost</p> <p>effectiveness of TMC-I compared to triple metronomic chemotherapy (TMC) in the treatment of advanced head and neck</p> <p>squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients in China, the largest developing country.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>A partitioned survival model (PSM) was developed based on a randomized clinical trial from the perspective of Chinese</p> <p>health care system. Costs and utility were derived from open-access databases and literatures. A 5% annual discount rate was</p> <p>applied to both costs and outcomes. The primary outcome was incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). A willingness-to-pay</p> <p>(WTP) threshold of ¥44,679/QALY based on supply-side and ¥134,037/QALY based on demand-side were set. Sensitivity</p> <p>analyses including one-way sensitivity analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis were conducted to test</p> <p>the model stability; subgroup analyses were also included.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>TMC-I yielded an additional 0.41 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) while increasing costs by ¥47,346.98 relative</p> <p>to TMC, leading an ICER of ¥116,374.22/QALY. Sensitivity analysis showed that utility of progression-free survival (PFS) had</p> <p>the greatest impact on results. In scenario analysis which the utilities calculated by the time-to-death (TTD) were adopted, the</p> <p>results showed that the ICER was ¥114,795.25/QALY. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the probabilities that TMC-I was</p> <p>cost-effective at thresholds of ¥134,037/QALY, ¥44,679/QALY gained were 60.9%, 9.4%, respectively. Subgroup analysis</p> <p>results indicated TMC-I was dominated vs. TMC for patients with no previous taxane and PD-L1 score > 50.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>For Patients with recurrent or newly diagnosed advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, TMC-I is</p> <p>cost-effective at a WTP thresholds of ¥134,037/QALY and is not cost-effective when the WTP thresholds was ¥44,679/QALY</p> <p>compared with TMC.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>cost-effectiveness, low-dose nivolumab, triple metronomic chemotherapy, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma</p>Yingdan Cao, Fenghao Shi, Yuantong Li, Xiaoxia Wei, Hongbin Yi, Sheng Han
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/654Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Cost-effectiveness analysis of Trastuzumab Deruxtecan as second-line treatment for HER2- positive advanced breast cancer
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/655
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> To analyze the cost effectiveness of trastuzumab detrastuzumab (T-Dxd) or trastuzumab emtezumab (T-DM1) in</p> <p>patients with HER2-positive advanced breast cancer who were previously treated with trastuzumab and taxanes.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>Based on the perspective of China’s health system, a partitioned survival model is constructed to simulate the direct</p> <p>medical costs, life years and quality-adjusted life years of patients throughout their life cycle. The basic scenario set by the model</p> <p>is: based on the data of the Asian-Pacific population in the DESTINY-Breast03 (DB03) phase III clinical trial, the experimental</p> <p>group and the control group were given intravenous infusion of T-Dxd and T-DM1 at a frequency of every 3 weeks respectively</p> <p>until the patients’ disease progressed. Clinical effect data and health utility values come from individual patient-level data of the</p> <p>Asia-Pacific population in the DB03 Phase III clinical trial. Direct medical costs include drug costs, follow-up treatment costs,</p> <p>adverse event treatment costs, medical service costs, examination and testing costs, and hospice care costs.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>In the basic scenario, T-Dxd can reduce the risk of disease progression in patients, and compared with T-DM1, patients’</p> <p>life years and quality-adjusted life years are improved. Calculated based on China’s per capita GDP in 2022 (85,698 yuan),</p> <p>the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in the case of donated drugs is within the threshold of 2 times per capita GDP.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Trastuzumab Deruxtecan (T-Dxd) can extend the life years and improve the quality of life of patients with indications.</p> <p>Under the condition of drug donation, the use of T-Dxd has a comparative advantage of cost-effectiveness.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>cost-effectiveness analysis, trastuzumab deruxtecan, breast cancer, antibody-drug conjugate, economy</p>Feiyi Xiao, Wudong Xiao, Xue Li, Rui Li, Kun Zhao
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/655Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Current practices of model validation in economic evaluation: A systematic review in neoplasms
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/657
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> Model validation is crucial for ensuring confidence in economic models, and guidelines emphasize the need for</p> <p>researchers to validate the pharmacoeconomic models they construct. This systematic review summarizes current practices</p> <p>and challenges in model validation for neoplasm economic evaluations, providing recommendations for improvement.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, we</p> <p>searched PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, and ScienceDirect for model-based economic evaluations published between 2021</p> <p>and 2023. The studies were screened and extracted by two researchers independently. The frequency of each model validation</p> <p>type was assessed, along with descriptions of specific practices, validation outcomes, and adjustments made based on the</p> <p>validation results.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>Among the final 362 articles, 139 (38%) conducted model validation. External validation was the most commonly used</p> <p>validation method (47%), calibrating the model and comparing simulated outcomes with real-world evidence. Face validation</p> <p>(45%) relied on insights from clinical experts and economists. Internal validation (19%) employed tools such as the incremental</p> <p>mixture importance sampling (IMIS) algorithm and TreeAge. Cross validation (9%) compared data from similar events, while</p> <p>predictive validation (4%) used long-term follow-up data. Of the 39 studies (28%) that reported validation results, none of them</p> <p>made any adjustments based on the validation outcomes. The Assessment of the Validation Status of Health-Economic decision</p> <p>models (AdViSHE), a validation-assessment tool, was utilized in three studies for model validation. Additionally, 10% of economic</p> <p>evaluations lacked clear validity, while 96% had one to three validity dimensions, and only 4% had four to five dimensions.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Most studies had limited and brief model validation practices without comprehensive descriptions. Researchers</p> <p>are encouraged to employ multiple validation methods and provide detailed descriptions of their validation practices, results,</p> <p>and adjustments. Active development and utilization of model evaluation tools should be promoted among scholars.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>model validation, economic evaluation, current practices, systematic review</p>Pingping Li, Min Zhao, Xiangyu Liu, Hualing Yan, Zeying Yang, Chen Jiang, Yihe Tian, Hongchao Li
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/657Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Disease burden and treatment patterns in adult patients with severe asthma: A real-world study based on claims data from China
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/658
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> To assess the treatment pattern and disease burden in adults with severe asthma in China.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective, observational, cohort study with one-year follow-up was conducted using a healthcare claims</p> <p>database spanning 2018 through 2020, from Tianjin, China. Patients diagnosed with asthma, who had ≥2 prescriptions of</p> <p>medium-to-high dose of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) along with additional controllers, were identified to represent severe</p> <p>asthma population in China. Patients were categorized as controlled, sub-optimally controlled , and uncontrolled by the times</p> <p>of burst systemic corticosteroids, short-acting β2-agonist (SABA) and hospitalization. Medication use, asthma exacerbations,</p> <p>and related costs in the follow-up period were also reported.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>2,418 patients with severe asthma were included, with an average age of 56.15 years, male 55.62%. 93.51% of</p> <p>patients used inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting β2 (ICS/LABA). 10.75% of patients used oral corticosteroids (OCS) (6.13%,</p> <p>23.83% and 33.96% in controlled, sub-optimally controlled and uncontrolled group, respectively). For patients with OCS,</p> <p>the average duration of OCS was 82.73 days (53.35, 102.27 and 111.21 days in three groups, respectively). 10.67% of</p> <p>patients experienced ≥ 1 exacerbation and 3.93% experienced ≥ 2 exacerbations (1.73%,1.68% and 26.89% in three groups,</p> <p>respectively). The average frequency of annual exacerbations was 0.21 (0.09, 0.26 and 1.31 in three groups, respectively). The</p> <p>average cost for per exacerbation was ¥1441.83 (¥293.69, ¥550.86 and ¥2366.86 in three groups respectively). The average</p> <p>asthma-related annual cost was ¥2846.08, of which medication costs exceeded 90% (¥2105.70, ¥3559.35 and ¥8506.83 in</p> <p>three groups, respectively).</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study shows that ICS/LABA is widely used in patients with severe asthma, and OCS is more used in patients</p> <p>with uncontrolled asthma. Worse asthma control is associated with more frequent and severe asthma attack and higher medical</p> <p>cost, which reveals the necessity of effective management and treatment to improve the asthma control.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>severe asthma, control level, treatment pattern, disease burden, real-world study</p>Ke Zhang, Xiaoning He, Jing Wu
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/658Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Establishment of a predictive model for antidepressant efficacy based on machine learning
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/659
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> Establishing a model can accurately predict the depressive patient’s response to different drugs, thereby providing</p> <p>personalized treatment plans to improve treatment outcomes.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>Depressive patients who have taken Paroxetine hydrochloride or Venlafaxine hydrochloride or Agomelatine at a</p> <p>hospital in Sichuan Province are the subjects. By analyzing their medical records, medication histories, and basic information,</p> <p>an predictive model is constructed to predict the efficacy of antidepressant medications based on eXtreme Gradient Boosting.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>For the prediction model of Paroxetine hydrochloride, 52 variables selected by the model were used to construct an</p> <p>efficient predictive model. In the training set, the model achieved an AUC value of 0.6354 and a K-S value of 0.1944, indicating</p> <p>good performance in correctly classifying positive and negative samples and distinguishing different predictive probability</p> <p>thresholds. In the validation set, the AUC was 0.6065, and K-S was 0.1847, confirming the model’s effectiveness on new data.</p> <p>Compared to actual clinical data, the efficacy of sertraline hydrochloride was approximately 61.9%. The model’s predictions</p> <p>aligned well with real-world data, reinforcing its reliability and practicality. As for venlafaxine hydrochloride, the model achieved</p> <p>an AUC of 0.5745 and K-S of 0.149 on the training set, while the validation set showed an AUC of 0.5298 and K-S of 0.0597.</p> <p>These results suggest that the model’s performance in predicting venlafaxine hydrochloride is mediocre. Comparing with</p> <p>clinical data, the efficacy of venlafaxine hydrochloride was approximately 68.9%, indicating a discrepancy between the model’s</p> <p>predictions and actual outcomes, possibly due to the uneven distribution of the training set samples. As for agomelatine, due</p> <p>to the insufficient number of agomelatine samples collected at the sample hospital (less than 200), an effective predictive model</p> <p>could not be established.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>In clinical practice, doctors can make more informed treatment decisions and achieve personalized antidepressant</p> <p>therapy with the assistance of this model.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>predictive model, machine learning, antidepressant efficacy, depressive patients, clinical practice</p>Yiyao Liu, Huitong Ni, Teng Zhi, Ziqi Zhao, Xiaoxi Zeng, Ming Hu, Zhiang Wu
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/659Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Exploring the application of health economics in clinical practice guidelines: A case study of breast cancer
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/660
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> Besides safety and efficacy evidence, economic evidence is a crucial consideration in forming recommendations</p> <p>for clinical practice guidelines (CPGs). However, the extent to which economic evidence is utilized in Chinese CPGs remains</p> <p>unclear. Our study aims to systematically analyze the application of economic evidence in CPGs, providing insights for future</p> <p>guideline formulation and updates.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>A systematic search was conducted for relevant breast cancer CPGs published from 2017 to 2023, along with breast</p> <p>cancer pharmacoeconomic evaluation literature from 2015 to 2017 in China. Using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research &</p> <p>Evaluation Instrument II (AGREE II) to select the guideline with the highest quality score and analyze the alignment between the</p> <p>recommendations in the guideline and the published pharmacoeconomic evaluation results.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>30 breast cancer CPGs and 59 breast cancer pharmacoeconomic evaluation studies were included. The CSCO</p> <p>guidelines received the highest quality score. Among the included pharmacoeconomic evaluation studies, 25 were mentioned</p> <p>in the guideline recommendations, but economic evidence from 15 studies did not align with the guideline recommendations.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Currently, economic evidence is seldom considered in published breast cancer CPGs in China. In future guideline</p> <p>formulation and updates, the involvement of health economists should be prioritized to enhance and guide the recommendations</p> <p>in the guidelines.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>clinical practice guidelines, health economic, cost-effectiveness, breast cancer</p>Yashi Liu, Zixuan Wang, Mei Lu, Liying Geng, Jing Peng, Linjie Zhou, Hongchao Li
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/660Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Optimizing covariate selection and results inference in anchored matched adjusted indirect comparison method
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/661
<p>Indirect comparison methods become particularly prominent in pharmacoeconomic evaluations. This study delves into the</p> <p>anchored matched adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) method, spotlighting the challenges of selecting appropriate covariates</p> <p>and distinguishing between predictive and prognostic factors. In addition, our research bridges the gap of MAIC results application</p> <p>inference, enhancing the methodological rigor and applicability of MAIC analyses. Through theoretical exploration and a detailed</p> <p>case study of toripalimab and pembrolizumab in the neoadjuvant treatment of NSCLC, we demonstrate the significant impact of</p> <p>covariate selection on the outcomes of pharmacoeconomic evaluations. Analyzing the individual patient data by using statistical</p> <p>methods alone is insufficient to identify all potential prognostic factors. Instead, a combination of previously published related</p> <p>research and expert consultations is necessary. The individual patient data network meta-analysis should be employed if the</p> <p>shared effect modifier assumption is not met to make the MAIC results be inferred for the real-world decision-making population.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>matched adjusted indirect comparison, covariate selection, results inference</p>Mingjun Rui, Hongchao Li, Yingcheng Wang
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/661Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800Pharmacoeconomic studies on biologic agents for ankylosing spondylitis: A systematic review
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/662
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> This study aims to systematically review and assess the quality of published pharmacoeconomic studies on biologic</p> <p>agents for ankylosing spondylitis conducted both domestically and internationally.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library databases were searched using English keywords such as “ankylosing</p> <p>spondylitis” and “pharmacoeconomics.” Chinese databases, including China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) and</p> <p>Wanfang Database, were searched using Chinese keywords such as “ankylosing spondylitis”, “cost” and “effectiveness”. The</p> <p>search was conducted from the inception of the databases until February 2023. The quality of the included studies was assessed</p> <p>using the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS 2022) and the Quality of Health Economics</p> <p>Studies Instrument (QHES). Two researchers extracted data from the included studies, and descriptive analysis was performed</p> <p>to summarize the characteristics of the included studies.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 24 English-language studies were included in the review. The included studies were published between 2004</p> <p>and 2020, with 19 studies classified as high-quality and 5 studies as “general quality studies.” Furthermore, 18 studies (75%) were</p> <p>model-based pharmacoeconomic evaluations, including Markov models, mathematical models, and discrete event simulation</p> <p>models. In terms of economic evaluations, Tumour necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitors and IL-17 inhibitors were found to be more</p> <p>cost-effective compared to traditional nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAIDs) treatment. Factors such as the BASDAI 50</p> <p>response rate and disease-related costs had varying degrees of impact on the incremental cost-effectiveness analysis results.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The overall results indicate that, in the short-term treatment scenario, biologic agents are not cost-effective</p> <p>compared to traditional treatment options, but in the long-term treatment scenario, biologic agent treatment becomes more</p> <p>cost-effective. The most cost-effective intervention measures varied among different studies comparing different biologic agents.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>ankylosing spondylitis, biologicals, pharmacoeconomic evaluation, systematic review, TNFis inhibitors, IL-17 inhibitor</p>Jiaqi Shi, Ziqi Zhao, Wenxin Zhou, Ming Hu
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/662Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800The parameter variation of one-way sensitivity analysis in economic evaluation: Global systematic review
https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/664
<p><strong>Objective:</strong> One-way sensitivity analysis (OSA) plays a crucial role in economic evaluations (EEs), yet knowledge about parameter</p> <p>range and research practices is limited. Understanding these patterns is essential for reliable healthcare decision-making. This</p> <p>study aims to describe OSA patterns in EEs, providing insights into parameter ranges and good research practices.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>Systematic searches on PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, and ScienceDirect were conducted for model-based EEs</p> <p>published in English (2021-2023). Neoplasm-related articles were prioritized due to their abundance. Screening, data extraction,</p> <p>and quality assessment were performed by two independent reviewers. Study characteristics, OSA methods, and OSA result</p> <p>diagrams were collected. Study quality was assessed using the Criteria for Health Economic Quality Evaluation (CHEQUE) tool.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 7,885 records, 362 articles were extracted. Economic parameters such as price per unit, packaging cost,</p> <p>and number of healthcare utilization were commonly varied in OSA (94%). Efficacy parameters (84%), utility parameters (79%),</p> <p>and safety parameters related to adverse event and complication (54%) were also frequently varied. Only 67% of the articles</p> <p>described parameter variation methods, 73% listed parameter change ranges, and only 34% explicitly stated the rationale</p> <p>behind parameter variations. A taxonomy of OSA range types was developed, including practices such as literature review,</p> <p>confidence intervals, practical context, clinical opinion, extreme values, percentage/distance variations, guideline provisions,</p> <p>author assumptions, unknown ranges/types, uncertain variations, and others. Good practices for OSA were recommended.</p> <p>Tornado diagrams were the most common OSA result plots (88%), accompanied by table, curve, and line chart. Method quality</p> <p>scored 13 out of 18 points, while reporting quality scored 12 out of 17 points.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This systematic review revealed unsatisfactory quality in the methods and reporting of OSA in neoplasm EEs.</p> <p>Recommendations are provided for parameter variation methods, ranges, references, and chart presentation for future OSA</p> <p>studies.</p> <p><strong>Key words: </strong>parameter variation, one-way sensitivity, systematic review, economic evaluation</p>Pingping Li, Xiangyu Liu, Chen Jiang, Zeying Yang, Yihe Tian, Min Zhao, Hualing Yan, Hongchao Li
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https://www.hksmp.com/journals/hd/article/view/664Fri, 12 Jul 2024 00:00:00 +0800